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Press release

17 October 1997

ASH
Action on Smoking
and Health

 

Health effects of Environmental Tobacco Smoke
An estimate for the UK based on US and California data

US

California

UK

Population (million)

265

32

55

Developmental

Low birthweight (max)

18,600

2,200

3,805

(min)

9,700

1,200

2,075

Cot death - SIDS (max)

2,700

120

208

(min)

1,900

-

-

Respiratory effects in children

-

Middle ear infection (max)

1,600,000

188,700

326,368

(min)

700,000

78,600

135,943

Asthma induction - new cases (max)

26,000

3,120

5,396

(min)

8,000

960

1,660

Asthma exacerbation (max)

1,000,000

120,000

207,547

(min)

400,000

48,000

83,019

Bronchitis or pneumonia in infants - cases (max)

300,000

36,000

62,264

(min)

150,000

18,000

31,132

Bronchitis or pneumonia in infants - hospitalisations (max)

15,000

1,800

3,113

(min)

7,500

900

1,557

Bronchitis or pneumonia in infants - deaths (max)

212

25

44

(min)

136

16

28

-

-

Cancer

-

-

Lung

3,000

360

623

-

Nasal sinus

NA NA NA

-

Cardiovascular

-

-

Ischemic heart disease (max)

62,000

7,440

12,868

(min)

35,000

4,200

7,264

Column 1&2 (US and California) are from the California EPA report
The figures for California were derived from US figures multiplied by 12%,
which is the California share of the US population. Exceptions are low infant birth weight
and SIDS which are figures for California
Column 3 is an estimate for the UK using the same approach.
This approach includes an implicit assumption that smoking behaviour, exposure
and susceptibility are similar for California and the US and for the UK and California.
ie. the UK figures are 55/32 x the California figures.
This assumption was made by the authors of the California EPA report and we
we believe it to be a fair, and probably cautious, approximation for the UK.

 

 

Contact Clive Bates, Director (020) 7739 5902
  Amanda Sandford, Communications Director (020) 7739 5902

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